Mathew Owili has emerged as the leading candidate in Mwelekeo Insights’ November 2026 Kisumu County gubernatorial poll, with Rozaah Buyu finishing second in a closely contested race. The results place several aspirants within a narrow range, underscoring the competitive nature of the county’s gubernatorial contest.
Owili leads with 16.6 per cent, followed by Buyu at 15.4 per cent. Tom Ojienda and Ken Obura are tied at 14.0 per cent, while Ruth Odinga records 11.1 per cent. Joshua Oron follows with 10.2 per cent, Jack Ranguma at 9.4 per cent and Aduma Owuor at 7.7 per cent. Other candidates account for 1.6 per cent.
The results show just a 1.2 percentage-point difference between Owili and Buyu, while Ojienda and Obura trail the leader by 2.6 percentage points, leaving the top four candidates closely grouped.
The poll attracted 836 responses and closed on November 4, 2026. It was conducted as an open online poll, meaning participation was voluntary and the findings reflect respondents who chose to take part rather than a statistically representative sample of Kisumu County voters. No margin of error applies, and the results should not be interpreted as an election forecast.
Results: KISUMU COUNTY GOVERNOR POLL (November 2026)
If elections were held today, who would you elect as Kisumu County Governor?
Mathew Owili
16.6%
139 
Rozaah Buyu
15.4%
129 
Tom Ojienda
14.0%
117 
Ken Obura
14.0%
117 
Ruth Odinga
11.1%
93 
Joshua Oron
10.2%
85 
Jack Ranguma
9.4%
79 
Aduma Owuor
7.7%
64
Others
1.6%
13
Total = 836
This is an open online poll. Results reflect the views of people who chose to take part and are not a statistically representative sample of Kenyans. No margin of error applies.